Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.189546 0.206324 0.224142 0.244512 0.267205 0.291762 0.320421
2026-02-01 0.157386 0.180572 0.206845 0.238995 0.277507 0.322451 0.379298
2026-02-08 0.136509 0.162488 0.193307 0.232916 0.282979 0.344835 0.428124
2026-02-15 0.122218 0.149708 0.183517 0.228705 0.288365 0.365646 0.475355
2026-02-22 0.114219 0.143467 0.180597 0.231994 0.302586 0.398100 0.540595
2026-03-01 0.105906 0.135836 0.174856 0.230498 0.309561 0.420672 0.593898
2026-03-08 0.098314 0.128400 0.168542 0.227299 0.313345 0.438471 0.641554
2026-03-15 0.091019 0.120744 0.161208 0.221805 0.312942 0.449579 0.679578
2026-03-22 0.088271 0.119099 0.161992 0.227860 0.329900 0.488214 0.765992
2026-03-29 0.085286 0.116855 0.161664 0.232081 0.344208 0.523862 0.851809
2026-04-05 0.081532 0.113220 0.158991 0.232402 0.352196 0.549779 0.923722
2026-04-12 0.076436 0.107295 0.152500 0.226216 0.348944 0.556270 0.960682
2026-04-19 0.071313 0.101157 0.145479 0.218935 0.343670 0.559460 0.993340
2026-04-26 0.067316 0.096523 0.140518 0.214671 0.343221 0.571268 1.044881
2026-05-03 0.063438 0.091855 0.135213 0.209428 0.340553 0.578650 1.088377
2026-05-10 0.060228 0.088047 0.131034 0.205745 0.340273 0.590331 1.142433
2026-05-17 0.058663 0.086727 0.130744 0.208634 0.352090 0.626340 1.254987
2026-05-24 0.056359 0.084104 0.128164 0.207321 0.355921 0.646906 1.335885
2026-05-31 0.053930 0.081157 0.124880 0.204513 0.356622 0.661100 1.403994
2026-06-07 0.051293 0.077746 0.120637 0.199685 0.352977 0.665788 1.449568
2026-06-14 0.050675 0.077619 0.121923 0.205005 0.369750 0.715709 1.617921
2026-06-21 0.049799 0.077012 0.122338 0.208711 0.383567 0.760774 1.782655
2026-06-28 0.048398 0.075451 0.121003 0.208993 0.390302 0.790590 1.911579